Student Loan Borrowing and Payoff Trends

The Fed's annual Economic Well-Being of U.S. Households report, issued last month, shows some interesting trends in student borrowing and repayment during adulthood-- including some good news.

First, the good news: borrowing for higher education has declined over the past decade, resulting in fewer young adults under age 30 having student loan debt compared with those aged 30-44. The decline is significant: while 53% of those aged 30-44 borrowed for education, only 42% of those aged 18-29 have done so.

Another piece of good news: now that repayment has restarted, post-Covid forbearances, a very small share of those who earned bachelor's degrees is struggling with repayment: just 16% of public college and 15% of private not-for-profit graduates are behind on student loan payments. This compares with 20% of total borrowers being behind. Total borrowers includes those who attended but did not graduate; students who completed an associate or technical degree; and those who attended private for-profit colleges.

Those numbers apply to those who still have student loans; many people have of course repaid their loans. Including that group in the numbers, 8% of total borrowers were behind on payments, 33% had outstanding debt and were current on payments, and 59% had fully repaid their loans.

In a time where many question the value of a college degree, the survey also showed many benefits of a degree:

  • 87% of adults with at least a bachelor's degree reported doing okay or living comfortably, compared with just 64% of those with a high school degree and 47% of those with less than a high school degree.

  • If you like remote work, you'll want a degree: 26% of workers with at least a bachelor's degree were fully remote, compared with just 9% of those with a high school degree or less.

  • Workers with college degrees have greater autonomy to choose what tasks they work on and how they complete them than even those who have completed some college but not earned a degree: 38% of those with degrees often or always choose what tasks to work on compared with 29% of those with some college, and 63% of degree-holders often or always choose how to complete tasks, compared with just 49% of those with some college.

Overall, 71% of adults have had some training post-high school, whereas just 37% have earned at least a bachelor's degree. More than 40% of people who pursued education beyond high school took out student loans to do so, with 17% still owing and 24% having fully repaid their loans. Borrowing is higher among those with degrees: almost half of adults with a bachelor's degree borrowed for their education, and 54% of those with graduate degrees took out student loans. The median amount of education debt among those who had borrowed for their own education and still had outstanding loans was between $20,000 to $24,999, with higher balances among those with graduate degrees.

All in all, the study points to the conclusion that borrowing to get an undergraduate degree can be a reasonable investment, as long as you borrow reasonable amounts. The federal student loan program provides good guardrails for borrowing.

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